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China’s Q1 GDP grows 5.0% y/y, tops market forecast

By Thomson Reuters Apr 15, 2026 | 9:03 PM

BEIJING, April 16 (Reuters) – China’s economy grew 5.0% in the first quarter from a ​year earlier, official data showed ‌on Thursday, beating analysts’ expectations as policymakers brace for the fallout from the Iran war.

Analysts polled by ‌Reuters ​had forecast the ⁠January-March quarter gross ⁠domestic product (GDP) would expand 4.8% from a year earlier, compared with a 3-year low of ​4.5% in the fourth quarter.

On a quarterly basis, GDP grew ⁠1.3% in the ⁠first quarter, matching forecasts ​and just ahead of the ​1.2% gain in the previous quarter.

Risks ‌to the world’s second-largest economy have surged since the Middle East war erupted on February ⁠28. The conflict has laid bare a critical vulnerability: as the world’s ⁠biggest energy ‌importer and a ⁠heavily export-driven economy, China ​is ‌acutely exposed to an oil ​shock ⁠that is already slowing trade, driving up factory costs and clouding the outlook for the year.

(Reporting by Kevin Yao Editing by ​Shri Navaratnam)