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Fed’s Daly: no single most-likely path for rates

By Thomson Reuters Mar 23, 2026 | 4:09 PM

March 23 (Reuters) – San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly ​on Monday ‌said that unless the Iran conflict resolves quickly and the Fed can ‌simply “look ​through” a ⁠temporary increase in ⁠oil prices, it is not clear what the Fed’s next move ​on interest rates will need to ⁠be.

“There is ⁠no single most-likely ​path,” Daly said in ​a post on LinkedIn, noting ‌a protracted conflict could increase the risk of higher inflation ⁠but also a weaker labor market, putting the Fed’s ⁠two ‌goals in tension. “With ⁠policy in ​a ‌good place, we need ​to ⁠remain flexible, able to respond to rapidly evolving risks.”

(Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Chris ​Reese)