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J.P. Morgan sees ECB hiking rates in April, July on rising inflation risks

By Thomson Reuters Mar 20, 2026 | 12:26 AM

March 20 (Reuters) – J.P. Morgan on Friday said it ​expects the European ‌Central Bank (ECB) to deliver two rate hikes in April and ‌July, ​in ⁠sharp contrast to ⁠its previous forecast of steady rates through 2026, as ​policymakers signaled at rate hike ⁠discussions due ⁠to rising inflation ​risks.

The sudden shift ​comes after the ECB ‌kept its key interest rate at 2% on ⁠Thursday, but policymakers expect to discuss hikes in ⁠the ‌coming months as ⁠the Iran ​war ‌threatens to push ​up inflation ⁠in the euro zone.

(Reporting by Siddarth S in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonia ​Cheema)