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Yuan bounces off one-month low on firmer guidance, Beijing reveals 2026 targets

By Thomson Reuters Mar 4, 2026 | 7:36 PM

SHANGHAI, March 5 (Reuters) – China’s yuan rebounded from a one-month low on Thursday, after the central bank set its guidance at the strongest in ​nearly three years, a move seen as aimed ‌at stabilising the market amid Middle East tensions and a key domestic meeting.

The annual meeting of China’s parliament opened on Thursday. Beijing set its economic growth target for 2026 at 4.5%-5%, ‌a ​slight downgrade from the 5% pace ⁠achieved last year, which ⁠leaves room for greater, albeit not decisive, efforts to curb industrial overcapacity and rebalance the economy.

Prior to market opening, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set its ​midpoint rate at 6.9007 a dollar, 117 pips or 0.07% stronger than its previous setting.

The central bank ⁠has been mostly setting a ⁠weaker-than-expected guidance rate since late November, Thursday’s ​fixing, however, was 3 pips firmer than a Reuters’ estimate ​of 6.9010.

The spot yuan is allowed to trade ‌2% either side of the fixed midpoint each day.

The strengthened fixing lifted the spot rates. The onshore yuan traded 0.12% higher at 6.8865 per dollar as of ⁠0205 GMT, with its offshore counterpart at 6.8882.

“It appears policymakers intend to maintain a broadly supportive policy stance consistent with ⁠the approach taken ‌since 2025,” said Marco Sun, chief ⁠financial market analyst at MUFG (China).

In global markets, ​investors ‌were quick to take comfort in a ​report that ⁠Iran intelligence operatives signaled openness to talks with the CIA to end the war despite Tehran’s subsequent denial, underscoring the fraught sentiment towards a conflict that has lashed global markets.

(Reporting by Shanghai Newsroom; Editing by Christian Schmollinger ​and Stephen Coates)