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US regulator says it has power to police prediction market misconduct

By Thomson Reuters Feb 25, 2026 | 2:55 PM

By Chris Prentice

NEW YORK, Feb 25 (Reuters) – U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Wednesday said it has the ​power to police illegal trading ‌practices in predictions markets, following a statement from a top firm that it had flagged two insider trading cases to the agency.

The ‌CFTC ​said it has the “full ⁠authority” to police ⁠such misconduct in event market contracts, citing a statement from Kalshi that the firm had flagged and frozen traders’ ​accounts related to two incidents of insider trading.

Concerns over insider trading in ⁠these nascent, but growing ⁠markets have been mounting, with ​a top Justice Department official this month ​flagging them as an area ripe ‌for enforcement. State gaming regulators have also sought to police such markets, which compete with casinos and traditional betting ⁠firms.

The CFTC in a court filing last week said it has exclusive jurisdiction over such ⁠markets, ratcheting ‌up its battle against the ⁠states.

Companies that are registered with ​the ‌CFTC, such as Kalshi, are ​typically responsible ⁠for helping to police misconduct in their markets and reporting it to the agency.

Neither the CFTC nor Kalshi responded immediately to request for additional comment.

(Reporting by ​Chris Prentice)