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UK public inflation expectations fall in January, Citi/YouGov survey shows

By Thomson Reuters Feb 25, 2026 | 12:35 PM

LONDON, Feb 25 (Reuters) – The British public’s expectations for inflation over the coming year and further ​ahead fell sharply in February, ‌according to a monthly survey by YouGov for U.S. bank Citi which was published on Wednesday.

Short-term inflation expectations fell to 3.3% ‌in ​February from 3.8% ⁠in January, while long-term ⁠expectations fell to 3.6% from 4.1%.

“Despite the volatility in recent months, there may be cautious reason for ​optimism that the move this month may be something of a ‘level ⁠shift’,” Citi said in ⁠a note accompanying the ​survey results.

The bank said the survey was “clearly ​dovish” for Bank of England interest ‌rates.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said on Tuesday that an interest rate cut in March was a possibility, ⁠although services price inflation in recent data had not fallen as much as hoped.

He said ⁠he ‌would need further evidence ⁠to feel confident about cutting ​borrowing ‌costs at the bank’s policy ​announcement on ⁠March 19, having voted with a 5-4 majority on the Monetary Policy Committee to hold interest rates this month.

(Reporting by William James; Editing by ​Toby Chopra)