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Fed’s Daly says businesses ‘cautiously optimistic’

By Thomson Reuters Feb 17, 2026 | 3:33 PM

Feb 17 (Reuters) – Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly on Tuesday said that what ​had been widespread uncertainty last ‌year about the strength of demand has given way to cautious optimism among the business leaders she talks with.

“It’s somewhat of a ‌surprise ​to many of ⁠them, given that consumers ⁠have drained down their savings,” especially among those with lower incomes, Daly told reporters after an event at ​San Jose State University. “But right now it’s good…it’s a buyers’ market ⁠in the labor market.”

Daly ⁠said that businesses are still ​uncertain about how long consumer demand will ​stay strong, and are therefore cautious ‌about hiring, especially with artificial intelligence potentially changing the kinds of workers they may need to have on ⁠staff.

Once they figure out how AI may change their business needs, she said, they can ⁠think ‌about hiring to meet the ⁠demand that they need to ​meet.

“I’d ‌say that cautiously optimistic is ​really where ⁠they’re at,” Daly said. “And with the policy adjustments we made last year, the economy in their mind feels well supported.”

(Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by ​Andrea Ricci)