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Mexico’s annual inflation likely accelerated in January, according to poll

By Thomson Reuters Feb 6, 2026 | 11:03 AM

By Noe Torres

MEXICO CITY, Feb 6 (Reuters) – Mexico’s inflation likely accelerated in January, a Reuters survey showed ‍on Friday, supporting the central bank’s decision a day earlier to pause its monetary easing cycle as price pressures persist.

The median forecast of 12 economists showed ‌headline inflation rising 3.82% year-on-year, ‌with core inflation reaching 4.49% annually.

WHY IT MATTERS• Analysts said the acceleration was mainly due to higher food prices following tax ​increases on cigarettes and sugary drinks that took effect in January.

• ‍Mexico also raised ​tariffs on imports from China ​and other mostly Asian countries with which ‍it lacks trade agreements, as well as implemented a minimum wage increase.

• The central bank on Thursday halted a long monetary-easing cycle, citing the ‍impact of recent fiscal changes, though it signaled possible future rate cuts.

• The bank delayed ‍its ‍inflation target timeline to the ​second quarter of 2027 ​from ⁠the third quarter of 2025 ‌and raised its 2026 year-end inflation forecast to 3.5% from 3.0%.

• Mexico’s national statistics institute will publish January inflation data on Monday.

(Reporting by Noe Torres; Editing by ⁠Emily Green)