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India budget ‘tactical’, not ‘breakthrough’, Moody’s Ratings says

By Thomson Reuters Feb 1, 2026 | 3:01 AM

By Ashwin Manikandan

MUMBAI, Feb 1 (Reuters) – India’s annual federal budget was “tactical” but not a “breakthrough”, Moody’s Ratings ‍said in its reaction to a government roadmap for the next financial year.

Planned fiscal consolidation, which will bring the budget gap to 4.3% from 4.4% in ‌the current year, will ‌not change India’s credit profile, Christian de Guzman, senior vice president at Moody’s Ratings, told Reuters.

“(Despite India’s) lengthening track record of ​deficit consolidation or fiscal discipline, this deficit is still wider than ‍what it was prior ​to Covid,” Guzman said.

“We ​haven’t seen the fiscal metrics improve sufficiently ‍enough to actually change the credit profile,” he said.

The economy is seen growing at 7.4% in the current financial year, with inflation likely ‍to be near 2%. The fiscal deficit for the year is set to be 4.4% ‍of ‍gross domestic product.

Moody’s Ratings ​last year affirmed its long-term ​local ⁠and foreign-currency sovereign ratings for ‌Indian and retained its “stable” outlook, citing sustained strength in its economy and reliable domestic funding for its budget deficits.

(Reporting by Ashwin Manikandan in Mumbai; Editing by ⁠Christopher Cushing)