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Philippines’ Q4 GDP up 3% on year, below forecast

By Thomson Reuters Jan 28, 2026 | 8:18 PM

MANILA, Jan 29 (Reuters) – The Philippine economy grew 3% in the last quarter of 2025 compared ‍to a year earlier, weaker than the downwardly revised 3.9% expansion for the previous quarter, the country’s statistics agency said on Thursday.

The pace fell below a ‌4% median forecast in ‌a Reuters poll, and brought full-year GDP growth to 4.4%, missing the government’s 5.5% to 6.5% target for 2025.

The lacklustre performance ​of the Philippine economy raised the odds of another central bank ‍rate cut, and was ​caused in part by ​a corruption scandal tied to infrastructure projects ‍that slowed public spending last year.

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Eli Remolona said last week that if fourth quarter GDP proved to be ‍weaker-than-expected, it would help the central bank decide whether to take action at a rate ‍setting ‍meeting scheduled for February ​19.

The central bank has cut ​its ⁠benchmark rate by a cumulative ‌200 basis points to a three-year low of 4.5% in the current cycle, which Remolona has said was nearing its end.

(Reporting by Karen Lema; Editing by ⁠David Stanway)