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Oil flat as chances of US strike on Iran recedes

By Thomson Reuters Jan 15, 2026 | 8:35 PM

PERTH, Jan 16 (Reuters) – Oil prices were flat on Friday with both Brent and U.S. West Texas Intermediate moving only a few cents from ‍their closing prices after the likelihood of a U.S. strike on Iran receded.

Brent was down 3 cents, or 0.05%, to $63.73 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate was up 4 cents, or 0.07%, to $59.22 per barrel as of 0223 ‌GMT.

Both Brent and WTI rose to multi-month ‌highs this week after protests flared up in Iran and U.S. President Donald Trump signalled the potential for strikes on the nation. [O/R]

Late on Thursday, however, President Trump said Tehran’s crackdown ​on the protesters was easing, allaying worries over possible military action that could disrupt oil supplies.

The U.S. ‍Energy Information Administration’s report [EIA/S] this ​week that American crude and gasoline inventories ​had risen by more than analysts had estimated also dampened ‍the market.

“This prompted a swift unwind of the ‘Iran premium’ that had propelled prices to twelve-week highs, compounded by the latest U.S. inventory data showing a substantial crude build,” IG analyst Tony Sycamore said in a note.

Sources ‍also told Reuters that Venezuela had begun reversing its production cuts and resumed exports.

Oil giant Shell released its 2026 Energy ‍Security Scenarios ‍on Thursday with a bullish case for ​energy demand and oil growth. The company ​estimated ⁠that primary energy demand by 2050 could ‌be 25% higher than last year.

Producer organisation OPEC said on Wednesday that oil supply and demand will remain balanced in 2026, with demand rising in 2027 at a similar pace to growth for this year.

(Reporting by Helen Clark; Editing ⁠by Tom Hogue)