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U.S. capture of Maduro could lift Venezuela, PDVSA bonds by up to 10 point, JPMorgan says

By Thomson Reuters Jan 5, 2026 | 2:02 AM

LONDON, Jan 5 (Reuters) – The U.S. capture of President Nicolas Maduro is expected to set ‍to trigger a rally of up to 10 points in Venezuela’s international debt no Monday, analysts at JPMorgan estimated.

Maduro was detained during ‌a U.S. military raid ‌on Saturday in Caracas that has plunged Venezuela into uncertainty.

Bonds issued by the country’s government and state oil company, ​Petroleos de Venezuela, known as PDVSA, were some of ‍the best performers ​in the world in ​2025, nearly doubling in price since ‍Donald Trump returned to the White House in January last year.

Some Venezuela sovereign bonds ended Friday’s trading session between 28-32 cents ‍on the dollar, MarketAxess data showed.

“Venezuela and PDVSA bonds have roughly doubled in ‍price ‍since during the course ​of 2025, but should ​still ⁠see a strong bounce — ‌up to 10 points — at the start of Monday’s session,” JPMorgan analysts said in a note to clients.

(Reporting by Karin Strohecker; editing by ⁠Marc Jones.)