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Japan’s cash in circulation falls for first time in 18 years in 2025 on BOJ stimulus exit

By Thomson Reuters Jan 5, 2026 | 8:00 PM

By Leika Kihara

TOKYO, Jan 6 (Reuters) – Japan’s monetary base, or cash in circulation, declined for the first time in 18 years in 2025 ‍as the central bank weaned off massive policy support, data showed on Tuesday, a trend that is likely to persist as it proceeds with policy normalisation.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) ended a decade-long stimulus last year, consisting of ‌huge asset buying, negative short-term interest ‌rates and a bond yield control, citing that the economy was on the cusp of sustainably achieving its 2% inflation goal.

It has since slowed purchases of Japanese government ​bonds (JGB) and terminated a funding scheme that incentivised financial institutions to boost lending.

Reflecting such moves, the ‍average balance of monetary base ​in 2025 dropped 4.9% year-on-year, marking ​the first fall since 2007, when the BOJ was ‍embarking on its previous rate-hike cycle, data showed.

The average balance of monetary base in December stood at 594.19 trillion yen ($3.79 trillion), down 9.8% from a year ago, and falling below the 600 trillion-yen ‍mark for the first time since September 2020.

Analysts expect Japan’s monetary base to continue falling as the BOJ proceeds ‍with bond tapering ‍and rate hikes.

With inflation surpassing BOJ’s ​2% target for nearly four years, ​the ⁠central bank raised short-term rates to 0.75% ‌from 0.5% in December.

Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed the bank’s readiness to continue raising rates if economic and price developments move in line with its forecast.

($1 = 156.6500 yen)

(Reporting by Leika Kihara; additional reporting by Takahiko Wada; Editing ⁠by Sumana Nandy)