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Bears home dogs, Rams biggest wild-card favorite

By Thomson Reuters Jan 4, 2026 | 11:53 PM

The Los Angeles Rams will travel cross country as the No. 5 seed in the NFC to play at a division champion in the wild-card round, and they will do it as a double-digit favorite.

The Carolina Panthers (8-9) backed ‍into the playoffs courtesy of Atlanta’s win over New Orleans, and their reward as the NFC South champions is a date against a team that has been among the Super Bowl favorites all year. The Rams (12-5) were installed as a 10.0-point favorite by DraftKings for the wild-card opener on Saturday — nearly a touchdown bigger spread than in any of the other five games.

By contrast, Saturday’s ‌second game will pit Chicago against bitter division rival Green Bay. ‌The Bears are the No. 2 seed in the NFC, but opened as a +1.5-point home underdog against the Packers. The teams split their regular-season meetings, with the Bears winning 22-16 in overtime at home in Week 16.

Despite Green Bay closing the regular season on a four-game losing streak, ​the Packers were installed as one of four road favorites in the first round.

Sunday will feature two of the marquee matchups of wild-card weekend.

Jacksonville (13-4) will play host to Buffalo (12-5), ‍with the Bills opening as a 1.5-point road favorite ​against the AFC South champions. The game also features the highest ​total points line at 51.5.

The Bills and Jaguars will be followed by the reigning Super Bowl ‍champion Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) playing host to the San Francisco 49ers (12-5). Philadelphia opened tied as the second biggest favorite of the weekend at -3.5.

That equals the line for the New England Patriots (14-3), who will close out Sunday’s trio of games at home against the Los Angeles Chargers (11-6).

The first round of the playoffs will conclude will the fourth road favorite. Pittsburgh (10-7) ‍was the last team into the postseason on Sunday night courtesy of the Baltimore Ravens missing a field goal on the final play of the regular season, and the Steelers were immediately ‍installed as a 3.0-point home ‍underdog against the Houston Texans (12-5).

Along with the Packers-Bears, the Chargers-Patriots are ​tied for the lowest total points line of the weekend ​at 45.5.

Despite ⁠facing a potential three road-game gauntlet to reach the Super Bowl, ‌the Rams enter the postseason with the second-shortest Super Bowl champion odds at +425. That’s behind only Seattle at +350, as the Seahawks (14-3) claimed the No. 1 seed in the NFC and a first-round bye.

The AFC’s top seed, the Denver Broncos (14-3), own the third-shortest title odds at +650.

SUPER BOWL CHAMPION ODDS*

Seattle Seahawks (+350)

Los Angeles Rams (+425)

Denver Broncos (+650)

New England Patriots (+950)

Philadelphia Eagles (+1000)

Buffalo Bills (+1000)

Houston Texans (+1200)

Jacksonville Jaguars (+1400)

Green Bay Packers (+2200)

Chicago Bears (+2200)

San Francisco 49ers (+2800)

Los Angeles Chargers (+2800)

Pittsburgh ⁠Steelers (+5000)

Carolina Panthers (+15000)

*DraftKings

–Field Level Media