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Rising chip costs to push global smartphone shipments down in 2026, Counterpoint says

By Thomson Reuters Dec 16, 2025 | 3:20 AM

Dec 16 (Reuters) – Global smartphone shipments are expected to decline 2.1% next year as rising chip costs are likely to impact demand, ‍technology-focused market research firm Counterpoint said on Tuesday.

Electronics supply chains around the world have been hit by a shortage of legacy memory chips in recent months as manufacturers turned their focus to high-end memory ‌chips suited for semiconductors designed for ‌AI applications.

What we are seeing now is the low end of the market (below $200) being impacted most severely, with bill-of-materials costs (total cost of parts) increasing by 20% to ​30% since the beginning of the year, Counterpoint’s Research Director MS Hwang said.

Chinese Smartphone brands ‍such as Honor Device and ​Oppo are expected to be more ​vulnerable, particularly in the entry-level segment, due to tight ‍margins, the report said.

“Apple and Samsung are best-positioned to weather the next few quarters,” Counterpoint senior analyst Yang Wang said.

The research firm said last month that Nvidia’s move to use smartphone-style ‍memory chips in its artificial intelligence servers could cause server-memory prices to double by late 2026.

As each AI ‍server needs ‍more memory chips than a handset, ​the change is expected to create ​sudden ⁠demand that the industry is not ‌equipped to handle, according to Counterpoint.

Earlier this month, research firm IDC also said it expects a decline of 0.9% in 2026 smartphone shipments globally, citing rising memory chip prices.

(Reporting by Mihika Sharma in Bengaluru; Editing by ⁠Janane Venkatraman)