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Poland’s ruling party candidate leads opinion poll ahead of Sunday vote

By Thomson Reuters May 29, 2025 | 7:15 AM

WARSAW (Reuters) – The candidate from Poland’s ruling Civic Coalition (KO), Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski, leads nationalist Karol Nawrocki in popularity ahead of Sunday’s second round of the presidential election, a poll by Ipsos for the oko.press website showed on Thursday.

According to the poll, Trzaskowski would get 48% of votes and Nawrocki 47%, while 5% were undecided.

Trzaskowski, from Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s ruling KO, came ahead of Nawrocki, the candidate backed by the conservative-nationalist PiS, in the first round of the presidential election, 31.4% to 29.5%, a much narrower gap than opinion polls had suggested.

The following is a summary of the most recent poll results (figures in %):

Date R.Trzaskowski K.Nawrocki Poll by

29.05 48.0 47.0 Ipsos

29.05 47.7 46.0 IBRiS

28.05 47.4 45.0 United Surveys

28.05 47.5 45.9 Opinia24

27.05 45.7 44.9 IBRiS

26.05 47.0 46.0 Opinia24

26.05 45.7 43.6 Pollster

26.05 45.7 44.9 IBRiS

23.05 47.0 47.0 Ipsos

22.05 45.0 47.0 Opinia24

(Reporting by Warsaw Newsroom)